This learning event is designed to orient you to the Road to Conflict and assist in your preparation as a role player in the Higher Adjacent Lower Supporting Supported (HALSS) cell, Observer Controller Trainer (OCT) or Training Audience (TA) for WAREX 86-16-03.
There are seven module sections within this course of instruction:
Press the "Start" button on a section tile to begin a section. Sections do not have to be completed in any particular order. At the end of each section there is a short five question quiz that tests you mastery of the material. A score of 80% for each section quiz must be achieved in order to successfully complete the course. Once a section has been completed press the "Home" button to go back to the tile menu and select another section.
The Caucasus region has a long history of warfare; ethnic and religious factionalism; and general political, military, and civilian unrest. In addition to these internal regional divisions, outside actors like the US, the European Union (EU), China, and Middle East nations have increasing strategic interests in the region. The Caucasus thus represents a flashpoint where highly localized conflict can spill over into widespread unrest or general war.
Located between the Black Sea and the Caspian Sea, the Caucasus includes Atropia, Minaria, and Gorgas, as well as parts of Ariana, Donovia, and Kemalia. The Caucasus region contains two major parts—the North Caucasus and the South Caucasus. The North Caucasus region is contained entirely within Donovia, while the South Caucasus contains Gorgas, Minaria, Atropia, and parts of Ariana and Kemalia. The Caspian Sea holds large oil and natural gas reserves, potentially as large as those in Saudi Arabia, which contribute to the region’s geostrategic importance.
The current situation involves a broad political alliance of Ariana and Donovia to redraw the geopolitical map of the Caucasus to the exclusion of Western powers, and the functional end of currently independent states such as Gorgas and Atropia. The continuing competition by both Ariana and Donovia with Atropia in the international oil and gas markets, the latent ethnic tensions within Atropia, and other regional flashpoints continue to defy permanent diplomatic solutions.
Both Ariana and Donovia view the existence of the hydrocarbon-rich Atropia as an outpost of the “colonialist West,” and both covet control of Atropian natural resources. Economically, Atropia serves as one of the largest oil and gas producers in the world, with much of its hydrocarbon products used by Western countries. Atropian independence in setting its own gas/oil prices and policies has angered Ariana, who is also upset by the political independence that such oil and gas production and its accompanying hard currency income gives Atropia.
Atropia remains determined to maintain its independence and ensure the safe export of its hydrocarbon resources, primarily through the Black Sea pipelines of its neighbor, Gorgas. Both Atropia and Gorgas continue, with varying levels of success, to placate or balance the demands of Donovia and Ariana, while Atropia and Gorgas vigorously court European and US diplomatic support; possible inclusion in NATO; and, specifically, US security guarantees.